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Is Obama Ahead in Pennsylvania?

Posted by GottaLaff , Cliff Schecter's Blog at 3:06 PM on April 2, 2008.


He leads across all age groups except senior citizens and balances Clinton’s 10 point lead with women with his own 15 point lead with men.
sclintonandobamalarge
Clinton vs. Obama

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An outlier or ….?

Barack Obama 45
Hillary Clinton 43
Barack Obama has taken the lead in Pennsylvania, a remarkable turnaround after trailing Hillary Clinton by 26 points in a PPP poll in the state just two and a half weeks ago.
Obama’s steep rise could be a reflection of a growing sense among Democratic voters that a continued divisive nomination process will hurt the party’s chances of defeating John McCain this fall. An Obama upset in Pennsylvania would be virtually certain to force Clinton out of the race.
Obama has his customary large advantage with black voters (75-17) and is keeping it relatively competitive with white voters (49-38)
He leads across all age groups except senior citizens and balances Clinton’s 10 point lead with women with his own 15 point lead with men.

Pdf version here, with details.

Home page of PPP here.

H/t: Commenter David G.

Digg!

GottaLaff is a regular blogger for Cliff Schecter's Blog


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Unbelievable
Posted by: ruscle on Apr 2, 2008 4:21 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
By that I mean, I'll believe it once the votes are counted.

No need to take every blip in a poll as gospel truth.

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Kos
Posted by: SoCalLib on Apr 2, 2008 4:57 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
wrote about this poll today and came right out and said that it's ridiculous. As much as I respect him, the optimist in me is really hoping that he's wrong and this poll is right.

Even if it's not definitive, the fact that her lead is narrowing on a weekly basis is reason enough to be happy.

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» RE: Kos Posted by: wagadog
The whole Clinton/Obama thing
Posted by: foreverhope on Apr 2, 2008 6:17 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Here it is in a nutshell -- the more I learn about Hillary the less I like her, and the more I learn about Omaba, the more I like him. That's it. And you know what? The public is beginning to feel the same way.

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HOPE
Posted by: wagadog on Apr 2, 2008 9:32 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
springs eternal

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Just one poll
Posted by: RobNLA on Apr 2, 2008 11:45 PM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I support Obama, but this is just one poll. Overall the trend of the polls show Obama is still behind in PA, but narrowing Clinton's lead.

This is basically the same trend that has occurred in so many other states. I would attribute this general name recognition versus personal appearances.

Clinton has often started out leading in large states because she is more well known than Obama.

However, when given time Obama has demonstrated that he can turn states to his favor by getting a great deal of face time with the voters.

By the time PA actually votes, I suspect you'll see something close to a 50/50 split.

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THINKAMERICA
Posted by: ThinkAmerica on Apr 5, 2008 12:29 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
WHY HASN'T THE MEDIA BEEN ALL OVER THIS? CHECK IT OUT! I would really like the Larry Sinclair matter to be looked into in MUCH more detail (check out Larry Sinclair on You Tube), or check out this link:


http://
advanceindiana.blogspot.com/2008/04/
will-obamas-indiana-truth-squad-address.html


THIS REALLY NEEDS TO BE INVESTIGATED - THE MEDIA IS IGNORING THE STORY.

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