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ForeignPolicy

Can the U.S. Thrive as Other Powers Rise?

By Terrence McNally, AlterNet. Posted June 18, 2008.


Author Nina Hachigian shows that some of the biggest threats to our security don't come from rival nations. They come from us.
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Looking beyond U.S. borders, this is a rare moment. Not one of the world's powers is an enemy. The threats to our security do not come from rival nation states. With some threats like climate change -- as Walt Kelly put it via Pogo -- the enemy is us. Even the greatest external violent threats have roots not in powerful nations, but in instability, in states at risk of failure. Our ability to solve all major global problems is compromised or blocked by tribal conflicts, the failure of national institutions, and the resulting breakdown of authority and accountability.

A new book, The Next American Century: How the U.S. Can Thrive as Other Powers Rise by Nina Hachigian and Mona Sutphen, argues that it's good for us that other pivotal nations grow wealthier and stronger. We need them on our side so that together we can solve global problems of peace, climate, health, and justice.

Nina Hachigian is a Senior Vice President at the Center for American Progress and a Visiting Scholar of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University. Earlier, she was the Director of the Center for Asia-Pacific Policy and a Senior Political Scientist at RAND. From 1998 to 1999, she was on the staff of the National Security Council.

Terrence McNally: You open the book with the line "Our political coming of age was marked by the fall of the Berlin Wall not by the Vietnam War." Could you talk a little about what the world looked like as you were growing up ... some memories of our role in the world?

Nina Hachigian: Well my parents are both immigrants. My mother is first generation. She was born in Germany, and my father's parents were born in Armenia. We traveled frequently to Europe to see relatives. So from a young age, I had an awareness of a big world out there.

Growing up, I remember The Day After, the TV show, so I had an awareness of nuclear Armageddon.

But by the time I was in my 20s, that was all very suddenly behind us. Then the challenge became: we have a very new landscape, how do we deal with it?

Terrence McNally: How old were you for the fall of the Berlin Wall?

Nina Hachigian: I was 22.

Terrence McNally: The Cold War is basically over as you're graduating from college. I graduated in 1969 in the thick of the Vietnam War ...

You say this is a unique moment in our history, but it seems to me we've been at this moment for a number of years now, haven't we? How would you describe our response so far? And how do you explain it?

Nina Hachigian: When the Soviet Union collapsed, we were left as the only superpower. We have been conditioned -- because of the rise of Germany and then World War II, and the rise of the Soviet Union and the Cold War -- to see the rise of other strong nations as a potential threat.

You saw that playing out in the late 80's and 90's with Japan. Lots of fear about Japan and its economy, even though Japan is a military ally, a small country, and a democracy.

Terrence McNally: If we look back now and run some of the journalism or the TV coverage, "the rising sun" and so on ...

Nina Hachigian: We have a chart in the book that I think is very funny. We compare the titles of publications that came out around that time about Japan to titles that are coming out now about China. The words are almost identical: hegemony, take us over, etc.

But the fact is that today none of these powers are our enemies. And we think it's not even constructive to think of them as rivals.

They are in certain areas. There are still flashpoints -- issues like Taiwan -- where we have serious disagreements.

But if you look at the real issues that Americans care about -- safety at home, their prosperity, even in the promotion of democracy -- these countries are not our enemies. They are in fact our partners. If we want to be able to keep Americans safe at home, we have to work with them.

Terrence McNally: You say that when you set out to write this book you didn't have your conclusion. You had questions. What were those questions, and were you surprised by what you learned?

Nina Hachigian: Yes, we were surprised. We had the idea for the book in 2005, and began writing in 2006. At that time there were a lot of headlines about military advances of China and outsourcing jobs to India. There still is today.


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See more stories tagged with: russia, china, terrorism, trade, international policy, nation states, domestic policy

Interviewer Terrence McNally hosts Free Forum on KPFK 90.7FM, Los Angeles (streaming at kpfk.org). Visit terrencemcnally.net for podcasts of all interviews and more.



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Making The Long Journey Inward
Posted by: skizum on Jun 18, 2008 1:57 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The interesting thing about this article is that the author consistently points out that our focus needs to be trained more domestically inward while keeping an eye on a more global context in order to bring about a sustainable and peaceful balance in the broader world, and locally at home. I agree with this thematic line of thinking and I believe that this will eventually require us to engage in a more in depth examination and analysis of, individual self, in contextual relationship to our broader societal constructs. How do we, and society, constrain or support our most basic needs?

Regarding this, I think that it will ultimately be critical for each of us to understand the fundamental motivations/mechanisms of our own human behavior relative to ourselves and to each other within our societal constructs; past, present and future.

It is important for the individual to understand the basic nature of conflict with(in) self, with peers and society before he/she can take any prescribed actions to resolve any such conflict. Perhaps, when we are able to objectively understand our most basic physical, psychological, spiritual, emotional and intellectual needs then we will be better equipped to pursue strategies of regaining personal balance and re-evaluating our societal constructs (legal, social, environmental, economic, etc...) on the basis of supporting a sustainable balance for the individual relative to society.

In any case, this fundamental understanding of self would have to be objectively developed, broadly verifiable and understood by the vast majority of inhabitants of this planet. Here are seeds of such an endeavor; any thoughtful critique, extension and collaboration is appreciated. This project is currently funded by private donations and patronage via the My America Too online initiative.

We are now living in what is arguably the most important era in the history of human civilization. We are sitting on the knife’s edge of disaster or sustainability. Many of us understand a great deal about a myriad of topics ranging from science and medicine to economics and industrial specialties. Why is it that so few of us are experts on the most prevalent and influential topic directly effecting us all; human behavior?

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» RE: Making The Long Journey Inward Posted by: Walks-in-Storms
» Moving Forward... Posted by: skizum
Let's Pray for Common Sense
Posted by: fredo1012 on Jun 18, 2008 5:48 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Wish that we spent $10B per month on the REAL WAR ON TERROR - fixing up New Orleans, strengthening our infrastructures, developing energy-efficient automobiles, investing in our schools, funding cultural enrichment programs to educate our citizens about the new peoples and cultures swelling our shores.

Over 4000 dead in Iraq and upward 20,000 permanently maimed by the war. But regardless of the unequalled sacrifices of our troops, September 9-11 victim families have received more support and care than the 10s of thousands our failed policies have killed and maimed. More than the 100s of thousands still reeling from the devastations of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. More than we'll care for victims of the currently raging floods of the Midwest. Yet, today, our legislators audaciously will debate to drill more crude to quench our gluttonous dependence on oil. These are clearly tempestuous times. And, like Morgan Freeman's character said in the movie, Deep Impact: May God help us all....

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As always,
Posted by: Last Chance on Jun 18, 2008 6:39 AM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
there are peaceful solutions to the World's problems, but macho politics prefers war. Nevertheless, since the mainland Chinese abandoned socialism in favor of capitalism, they are negotiating a peaceful trade agreement with Taiwan. But as their economies continue to grow in response to their growing populations the environment is becoming so polluted, millions are getting sick. Obviously, smaller families and 100% recycling is the answer, If Saving the Earth

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» RE: As always, Posted by: Scientz
» RE: As always, Posted by: Walks-in-Storms
First of all, no mention of the fact this country been in borrowing and entitlement mode for decades
Posted by: maxpayne on Jun 18, 2008 6:40 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
If the author had even bothered to actually do a full research in history, he would have realized that for decades, America has been relying on borrowing from foreign countries, issuing phoney patents designed to crush new discoveries, innovations, and even inventions against non-monied geniuses who might have had a better shot at recognition, staying the wars for oil course all the while stifling developments and/or improvements in alternative renewables again due to killing new scientific discoveries, ... you get the picture. The days of propping up the military machine are entering the twilight zone.

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Afghanistan
Posted by: Moore Hognutz on Jun 18, 2008 7:41 AM   
Current rating: 4    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
In North Carolina, and probably in other places with a lot of military bases, "Afghanistan is where empires go to die..."

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can't wait
Posted by: cemdev on Jun 18, 2008 8:29 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
I for one, will be very glad when the US loses its dominance. For way too long has their people been far too insular, and their government way to meddling in the affairs of other nations.

This is a country that's been responsible for the assination of how many leaders of other nations now? How many coups? How many illegal military occupations? Honestly, the american people think they're some sort of force for good, when the reality is their government is actually probably the most destructive, evil and negative influence the world has seen.

It'll be a big beer for me when they go down.

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» RE: can't wait Posted by: Walks-in-Storms
We Can Thrive, IF We Get Out in Front of the Green Technology Revolution
Posted by: BillDouglas on Jun 18, 2008 8:31 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The US could be exporting free clean energy technology and plug in hybrid cars all over the world IF we invested heavily in the technology.

Then we would PROFIT from the WORLD'S GROWING ABUNDANCE.

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LOL
Posted by: GreyFoxThree on Jun 18, 2008 8:42 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Sadly, the US HAS become the latest "Third World" country. Thank you Dictator Bush!

JT
Ultimate Anonymity

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We must borrow from each system that which actually, works..!
Posted by: TJ-stars4peace on Jun 18, 2008 9:39 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Unless we make major modifications to our economy, in essence reorganize it then we shall continue in this downward spiral..

What we are seeing daily is the selling off of assets many of them vital and you can only do that so long before you reach the tipping point and it all falls down..

We have to borrow those aspects and principles which work best for our nation and it's people and incorporate them into our system the purpose of which is the Serve The People...

This old 19th century model we are locked into will just not fly in the 21 century..

Yes that means certain things vital infrastructural entities must be Nationalized from Health Care to Energy to our Airlines..as well as a sane responsible approach to housing these things are vital if we did this we would create and economic boom..as never before or not seen since the period after WWII..

The crucial principle is that we must once again affirm that the purpose of government is the Serve The People...it sounds cliche but it is the fundamental principle we have forsaken..

Corporatism does not work it does no serve the People at the farthest reaches of the Capital Corporatist Universe we see the same redistribution of wealth we were terrified with of Communism..

Distribution of Wealth, is always in play it is never neutral..

We have seen what happens when you distribute all the wealth to the top, rather than an equitable distribution that lifts the entire society..

Balance is key it is key in every endeavor when you abandon balance well then things are out of balance it's like playing a guitar out of tune, our economy is out of tune..way out of tune..

Forget Capitalist or Socialist even Communist of which I am certainly not one, but think as a Futurist, who looks at each issue and seeks the solution, rather than being hamstrung to one ideology or another if it's not working..

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Another piece of the puzzle
Posted by: Crazy H on Jun 18, 2008 10:29 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
The author talks about education & political strife, and those are important topics.

But she misses on one other important piece. This planet is *finite* there is a limit on the amount of resources we can exploit. We've probably already reached that limit.

"Can America Thrive...?" - well, no, not at the rate we've been doing. We can't keep claiming the lion's share for ourselves unless we're willing to fight the other 95% of the world's population for it.

The most important issue isn't what kids graduate with which skills: it's how many kids are born. We either learn to limit our population ourselves, or Mother Nature is going to step in and do it for us.

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Russia still has thousands of nukes, China is building an expeditionary capable military
Posted by: blogbooks on Jun 18, 2008 10:32 AM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
You think we have no enemies? Only because our strength is so overwhelming that our enemies are afraid to take action.

As our economic position deteriorates with help from Russia and China, you will see the nuances of Machiavellian politics played out plain for all to see.

Do you really believe human beings and human societies have changed so radically in these past few decades that men with power will not take from those too weak to defend themselves?

Ask Tibet how weakness worked out for them. Ask Kuwait...then ask Iraq.

Human beings are innately tribal and violent. Order is only maintained via coercion. Peace is only maintained by force. Go open a history book for the love of God and see your "good natured" humanity laid out plain to see.

Human history is babies chopped in half for fun, people impaled on pikes via their anus and left to die, people nailed to the cross and left to die, torture that makes Gitmo look like a vacation paradise, cities of 100,000+ utterly destroyed and the Earth salted.

There are still many military threats in the world facing the United States and Western interests. I guess they seem so remote to the educated liberal that they are like some sort of antiquated world war 2 movie that could NEVER happen in the "modern multicultural world."

Keep working, keeping paying your taxes, and let big brother protect you. Left to your own devices you'd be a head on a pike while marauders looted your home.

Anarchy is not for the weak.

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» I Agree With Everything But... Posted by: pdxstudent
» rumsfeld.... Posted by: denk
Not a helpful analysis
Posted by: badkitty on Jun 18, 2008 11:23 AM   
Current rating: 5    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Nina Hachigian is a Senior Vice President at the Center for American Progress and a Visiting Scholar of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University and she's 41 years old. Well, that destroys my faith in the Center for American Progress, and frankly, with Condi on the staff at Stanford (and I think we can all see how good she is at foreign affairs analysis), that's what I'd expect for Stanford. To her the biggest dangers are terrorism and a contagious flu-like epidemic. Well, at least the chances of either happening are pretty limited, but climate change? Not to rain on her parade, but most people with common sense and a sense of the past and possible future recognize that we are a civilization built on petroleum, and with peak oil and climate change meeting head on, nuclear terrorism and epidemics would only make this worse, but in themselves are only extremely bad and very bad. She did get one thing right--there is something wrong with Washington--senators, representatives, staffers, and government. These people are so far out of touch with real issues in this country, and a significant minority's opposition to infrastructure, education, and the Constitution (they appear to be absolute monarchists) is pushing us towards Third World status way faster than I thought possible.

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A little arithmetic
Posted by: realveive on Jun 18, 2008 1:14 PM   
Current rating: Not yet rated    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
America with 5% of the world population consumes over 20% of available resources. India and China with 15% and 20% of the world population are being converted into American-style "conspicuous consumers". How long will it take before one or more of these nuke-armed nations act out in "self-defense"? Can runaway capitalism's "Buy, buy, buy" mentality lead to anything other than a "Die, die, die" denouement? It ain't rocket science, folks.

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Not Unless You Throw Out All Your Lunatic Politicians Like The ENGLISH Have Just Done
Posted by: opmoc on Jun 18, 2008 8:58 PM   
Current rating: 3    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Actually The UK Politcians Just Voted Themselves Out Of a Job and Gave All UK Control To Some Unelected Bureucrat Somewhere Humdred of Miles Away In Europe

The English Politicians Knew That They Were Completely Useless

And Voted To Abolish Themselves a Few Hours Ago

It's The Best Thing They Ever Did

They Are Completely Useless And We All Hate Them

Now That They Are Gone We Will Ignore The EU

And continue as normal without having to pay our taxes to these politicians to do nothing except spout hot air - none of which is of any use whatsoever- cos they have no power and can't change any laws

You don't honestly think we are going to actually continue paying these windbags from our taxes

They have just been deleted from the payroll

They no longer can even try and bullshit any sensible argument as to why tax payers should pay them anything

They ain't going to change anything and even I can spout bullshit till the cows come home and no-one gives a fuck or takes the slightest notice

THE MUSIC

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Observer
Posted by: davy on Jun 19, 2008 12:26 AM   
Current rating: 2    [1 = poor; 5 = excellent]
Nothing gets by her. :-)

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